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> July, 2019: 11,000 dead > July, 2020: 16,000 dead

Where are you getting those numbers?

2019 - ages 25 - 44:

- represent ~320 deaths per 100k. [0]

- represent 85M pop. [1]

=> That's ~272k deaths per year in that age band.

You can check my math.

[0] (page 3) https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db395-H.pdf

[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the...

Further, this chart shows covid deaths as a proportion of all cause mortality. [2]

For ages under 50, covid accounts for 1-5% of all deaths.

For ages over 50, covid accounts for 10-15% of all deaths.

[2] (caveat, this is a snapshot of Feb 17 2021 data) https://datavisualizations.heritage.org/public-health/covid-...

In no age band do we see a 45% increase in deaths due to covid.



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