https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html
https://twitter.com/DeFi_initiate/status/1576543256627724288...
Of course, being historically consistent is not mandatory. The models may break, especially now that we have higher interest rates.
2020
2019
2013-2016
2010
2009
2002
and 1986.
For a 52-year period, that's not too many years. Just a fifth.
If the Fed were genuinely targeting 2%, I'd expect half.
The geometric mean inflation rate of this period is 3.92%, almost double the stated target.
I used data from here: https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/infl...
https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html
https://twitter.com/DeFi_initiate/status/1576543256627724288...
Of course, being historically consistent is not mandatory. The models may break, especially now that we have higher interest rates.