Speaking from my German perspective. Our (European) central bank printed central bank money like crazy the last 10 years, and apparently it was not a problem. Prices only shot up once there were supply shocks due to Covid and Putin. And sure enough, the supply shocks are slowly waning, and hence YoY inflation rates are also rapidly declining.
Yet everyone keeps talking about how the money supply is causing inflation, even though there is no plausible direct connection [1] between the amount of money in some bank account somewhere and consumer prices. The bakery down the street does not look at federal reserve rates when figuring out their bread prices.
[1] I'm guessing that someone will be able to explain this to me. But keep in mind that your explanation should cover how we could have over a decade of near-zero interest rates and the respective money supply inflation without seeing any significant consumer price inflation.
It's not accurate to say the EU has been printing money like crazy for 10 years, when for most of that time, the money printing was minor compared to 2020-2022.
Europe, much like the US, was printing money, at a fairly steady rate from 2008 to 2020, at which point they doubled the money supply in a little over a year. That is, they printed more money in ~18 months then they had since the EU was formed.
At a very basic level, more monies in circulation means each individual money is worth less than before. If each individual money is worth less than before, you need more monies to buy something. This is fine if you have more monies on hand to compensate, but generally this isn't the case for individual persons.
Thus, you have inflation: The price of goods inflate(!) because the value of monies drops inversely to the monies in circulation.
Yet everyone keeps talking about how the money supply is causing inflation, even though there is no plausible direct connection [1] between the amount of money in some bank account somewhere and consumer prices. The bakery down the street does not look at federal reserve rates when figuring out their bread prices.
[1] I'm guessing that someone will be able to explain this to me. But keep in mind that your explanation should cover how we could have over a decade of near-zero interest rates and the respective money supply inflation without seeing any significant consumer price inflation.