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Do you have reason to believe that people born during that window are particularly jail-prone?


A large number of other reasons than your suggestion exist which may alter that rate for other cohorts: the quantity of offenses which allow arrest may have changed, the attitude of law enforcement may be more or less lax, etc.


There is one particularly well-correlated explanation for the higher rates of violent crime in roughly that time window: Ethyl (tetraethyl lead).

http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2013/01/lead-crime-li...

edit: as noted in neighboring posts, "arrest" != "crime"


Crime is definitely way down in the last 10 years. If you assume that most people are getting arrested in their 20's, then that would imply the rates would change for different birth years.


> Crime is definitely way down in the last 10 years

violent crime is. I don't think arrests are, though...




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